Improving the estimation of the size of the European drug market


The EMCDDA has produced in recent years different estimates of the size of the EU drugs market. To improve and develop these estimates the agency has contracted Addiction Switzerland and the School of Criminal Justice of the University of Lausanne to collect and analyse different materials in order to formulate recommendations for the future. The project has three steps: a literature review, a case study and an expert consultation.

This report presents the main findings, conclusions and recommendations of each of the three steps as well as final recommendations integrating the lessons learned during the project. It starts with the review of the literature, which is followed by the presentation of a case study of a local drugs market estimate made in Switzerland using two different methods. The third part of the report presents the results of a short consultation with a group of experts selected by the EMCDDA on how to improve current drug market estimates.

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Improving the estimation of the size of the European drug market

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Additional information

This paper was commissioned by the European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA), to provide background material to inform and contribute to the analysis of EU Drug Markets. This background paper was produced under contract no CT.20.SDt.01 39.1.0 and we are grateful for the authors’ valuable contributions. The views, interpretations and conclusions set out are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the EMCDDA or its partners, any EU Member State or any agency or institution of the European Union.